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August 24 Nato will not put troops on ground in Libya by Richard Norton-Taylor
August 20 After 1973: Planning for Stablization in Libya by Bruce Jones, with Richard Gowan and Jake Sherman
June 16
Unreal diplomacy at the UN by CIC Associate Director, Richard Gowan
The vote on Libya New York suffered a tediously long winter this year, but for a few weeks in March there was an unusual sense of spring-like renewal at the United Nations. The UN's critics were caught off-guard by the Security Council's repeated efforts to rein in Libya's Colonel Muammar Gaddafi and its authorisation of "all necessary means" to stop indiscriminate killings in Côte d'Ivoire. Even Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, normally a paragon of caution, was invigorated and spoke out in favor of the Arab protest movements.
Read the full Pragati article here.
April 29
Hope Dies Last in Damascus by James Traub, CIC Non-Resident Fellow
Will Bashar al-Assad's brutal crackdown on his citizens finally put an end to a decade of wishful thinking about the Syrian president? Read the full Foreign Policy article here.
April 20
Where is Libya's way out of crisis? by Bruce Jones
Bruce Jones was quoted in this article in Xihua.
April 11
Can the UN clean up Libya? by CIC Director, Bruce Jones, CIC Associate Director, Richard Gowan, and CIC Deputy Director for Programs (Conflict), Jake Sherman.
We don't know when Gaddafi will finally fall or accept a ceasefire that could pave the way for his exit. But we can be confident that, whatever the Colonel's fate, he'll leave Libya in an unholy mess. Read the full Foreign Policy article here.
Good News by James Traub, CIC Non-Resident Fellow
James Traub's recent Foreign Policy article explains how the revolution transformed Egypt's media.
Nobel panel: Give war a chance by Bruce Jones, CIC Director
Bruce Jones was interviewed in a recent article on POLITICO.
W.P.S. Sidhu writes that, the BWAC_2011_Membership_Application_1-12-2011UNSC resolution 1973 establishing a no-fly zone over Libya to protect civilians might be considered a success by the first yardstick, although it is still too early to say if it meets the second criterion.
Read the full article here.
Securing a Political Resolution to the Libyan Crisis by Richard Gowan, CIC Associate Director
Richard Gowan, for World Politics Review, writes that; Western and non-Western diplomats at the Security Council should discuss the terms for a lightweight deployment to Libya now, so as to be ready to act if and when the political situation makes peace a possibility.
Securing a Political Resolution to the Libyan Crisis by Richard Gowan for World Politics Review
The ebb and flow of the Libyan civil war has led most American and European commentators to draw two conclusions. First, the conflict will end with a negotiated settlement. Second, international peacekeepers may be required to make any deal work. Western and non-Western diplomats at the Security Council should discuss the terms for a lightweight deployment to Libya now, so as to be ready to act if and when the political situation makes peace a possibility.
State-building and Political Change: Options for Palestine 2011 by Elizabeth Sellwood
In August 2011, the Palestinian Authority will conclude a two-year state-building program. Prime Minister Salam Fayyad launched the program in 2009 to advance two central Palestinian objectives: "Ending the occupation, establishing the State." Since then, he has overseen the effective implementation of key institutional reforms and has kept the idea of two states alive, despite the diplomatic deadlock. He has also created an expectation among Palestinians that something will happen in August 2011 to bring them closer to statehood. With Fayyad's deadline approaching, it is far from clear whether considerable progress at the institutional level can be translated into broader political change. In the new CIC paper, State-building and political change: Options for Palestine 2011, Elizabeth Sellwood analyzes four sets of options for political action available to the parties and the international community. She outlines the ideas underlying each option, and possible diplomatic processes. She assesses how each course of action might affect the political context and the situation on the ground. While there is no really good alternative to a negotiated peace agreement, some opportunities do exist for building on the progress Fayyad has made and advancing the political dimension of Palestinian state-building.
A Moral Adventure by James Traub, CIC Non-Resident Fellow
In James Traub's recent Foreign Policy column he asks "Is Barack Obama as much of a foreign-policy realist as he thinks he is ?"
The Hard Part by James Traub for Foreign Policy
What happens if the Libyan rebels actually win?
To the NY Times Editor: In "Planning for a Post-Qaddafi Libya" (Op-Ed, March 22), Max Boot argues that "post-Qaddafi Libya will most likely need an international peacekeeping force." The two examples he cites — Kosovo and East Timor — had transitional administrations under which the United Nations was given sweeping powers by the Security Council while establishing new institutions of government. Such an operation would have to overcome current political and financial pressure at the United Nations to scale down peacekeeping. No new large-scale peacekeeping operation has been authorized by the Security Council since the African Union's mission in Somalia in 2007. It would also need to overcome history; if patterns of deployment in the Middle East are any guide, a lightly armed cease-fire monitoring mission is far more likely to gain political currency. Given uncertainty that military action can dislodge Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi from power, an international monitoring force may ultimately prove more palatable and more appropriate.
Jake Sherman, Deputy Director for programs (Conflict)
The Myth of the Useful Dictator by James Traub for Foreign Policy
In propping up autocrats in countries like Yemen and Bahrain, the United States has long weighed its interests against its principles. Is it a false choice?
Stepping In by James Traub for Foreign Policy
Libya doesn't meet any of the criteria for a humanitarian intervention. We should do it anyway.
Revolution and the power of change by Richard Gowan for The National Which major power has most at stake in the Arab revolutions: the US, China or India? Egypt's protests were widely seen as a test of American foreign policy. But the Libyan crisis has shaken decision-makers in Beijing and New Delhi as well as Washington.
On the Libya No-Fly Zone, Put the UN Security Council Front Forward by Bruce Jones for Brookings.com
Debate continues inside the Obama administration — and on the front pages of The New York Times — over the merits and risks of a no-fly zone in Libya. The debate continues at the UN Security Council (UNSC) as well, where the United Kingdom and France have begun to draft a resolution calling for a no-fly operation. Opinion inside the Security Council is split.
Can Diplomacy Work in Libya? By Richard Gowan for World Politics Review
Who is ready to talk to Moammar Gadhafi? Last week, President Hugo Chávez of Venezuela announced that his Libyan counterpart and longtime ally would accept an international "Committee of Peace" to end the rebellion that threatens to destroy him. Rebel leaders in Benghazi dismissed the proposal out of hand. Yet there is a good chance that outside mediators -- if not necessarily Chávez -- will eventually play a part in ending the Libyan civil war.
Will the EU Win Glory on the Shores of Tripoli? By Richard Gowan for The Mark
The situation in Libya is the EU's problem. Is deploying EU forces to Libya a credible option?
An emerging role for India in Arab world by W.P.S. Sidhu for LiveMint.com
India and the other emerging powers by themselves will be unable to fill the gap left by the declining US influence in the region.
Cairo 1.5 by James Traub for Foreign Policy
The Arab world that Barack Obama addressed in his famous speech two years ago is history. It's time for him to speak to the new one.
The End of the Arab Dream by James Traub for Foreign Policy
Muammar al-Qaddafi's fall won't just mark the close of an awful dictatorship -- it will end the Arab world's disastrous half-century-long affair with utopian governing fantasies.
The Day Mubarak Fell. Bruce Jones interviewed on The Daily
Uprising Tide. Bruce Jones interviewed on The Daily
First Tunisia, then Egypt. The Daily's Elizabeth Saab on what can happen when nations are ignited by people who've had enough.
Don't Fear the Brotherhood by James Traub for Foreign Policy
Running away from the Islamic party is exactly what the entrenched Egyptian ruling class wants America to do.
Arab evolution tied to religion, army, US by W.P.S. Sidhu for LiveMint.com
Let's Try This Again by James Traub for Foreign Policy
Egypt could be a watershed moment for democracy promotion in the Arab world -- but only if the United States understands how it went wrong the last time.
What Egypt Means for the EU? By Richard Gowan for The Mark
For all the talk of a "global Europe," the EU struggles to influence its neighbours in the Eastern Mediterranean.
The Rest of the Story by James Traub for Foreign Policy
Al Jazeera's Palestine Papers have been a PR disaster for the Palestinian Authority. But it's Israel's American supporters who really need to read them.
The Post-Tunisia World by James Traub for Foreign Policy
Last week's upheaval showed that citizens of the Arab world are willing and able to overthrow their dictators -- and the Obama administration has to figure out how it will respond when they do.
A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Forum by James Traub for Foreign Policy
The Forum for the Future was supposed to be an instrument of George W. Bush's Middle East freedom agenda. Seven years later, it embodies everything that was wrong with it -- and the Arab street is taking matters into its own hands.
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