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For Foreign Policy, CIC's James Traub breaks down what a Biden presidency would mean for U.S. foreign-policy and the Middle East.

"The Middle East would almost certainly be demoted under a President Biden—but how far? One senior advisor—who requested anonymity to speak candidly about the campaign—predicts that the Middle East would be “a distant fourth” in the order of priorities, after Europe, the Indo-Pacific, and Latin America."

Sep 09, 2020
Middle East, United States

In the third Foreign Policy column of his series about a possible Biden presidency, CIC senior fellow James Traub details Biden's attitudes toward China.

"Biden has simply learned that beating up on China has become a cost-free way to prove your toughness. That wasn’t true even when he left office; his new bellicosity demonstrates how very quickly the consensus on China has shifted both in the broad public and among policymakers."

Sep 03, 2020
China, United States

In this Foreign Policy column, CIC senior fellow James Traub writes about what a Biden presidency could mean for neoliberalism as a dogma in foreign-policy.

"Some elements of a Biden foreign policy would almost certainly move left as a dependent variable of domestic policy. Biden uses the expression “a foreign policy for the middle class” to express the idea that trade and international economic policy must be guided by the benefits they will bring to average Americans—rather than to American multinationals."

Aug 27, 2020
United States

For the first column of a Foreign Policy series about Joe Biden’s foreign-policy vision, CIC's James Traub talked with Biden's team members to learn more about their perspective.

"What would it mean to rally democracies without fighting a new cold war, and without pretending to the status of undisputed leadership the United States had 70 years ago? The first order of business, as Biden notes in his Foreign Affairs essay, is 'renewing democracy at home.'"

Aug 20, 2020
United States

CIC's Barnett Rubin was interviewed by PolitiFact about the participation of U.S. State Department officials in the 2020 presidential political campaign.

""The more that foreign policy is — and is seen to be — used for purely partisan objectives, the less other countries will believe that the policy will carry over to the next administration. If they do not like the policy, it encourages them to wait it out till the next election rather than to respond immediately"," Rubin told PolitiFact.

Aug 26, 2020
United States

In his latest piece for Foreign Policy, CIC senior fellow James Traub discusses Democratic candidate Joe Biden's experience with U.S. foreign policy.

"Should he win, Biden will know the world beyond the United States’ borders better than any president since Richard Nixon, or perhaps Theodore Roosevelt," Traub writes.

Read the full article at Foreign Policy here.

Aug 12, 2020
United States

CIC's Barnett Rubin was interviewed by TOLOnews about former National Security Advisor John Bolton's new book, and what it reveals about President Trump's policy on Afghanistan.

"The main thing it shows is that President Trump doesn’t know anything about Afghanistan, he doesn’t care about Afghanistan. He just wants to get out of Afghanistan, but he wants to get out of Afghanistan in a way that is good for his reelection and that he doesn’t care about anything else at all," Rubin is quoted saying.

Jun 23, 2020
United States, Afghanistan
Afghanistan
Protest in New Orleans over the death of George Floyd

The protests that have roiled the United States over the past weeks are rooted in an issue at the heart of the divisions in American society: racism. But they also take place in a climate of increasing inequality and polarization. This briefing by Sarah Cliffe draws on comparative global analysis to ask whether the US now risks large-scale civil conflict.

Jun 10, 2020
Sarah Cliffe
United States
Crises

In a new column for Foreign Policy, CIC senior fellow James Traub writes about the post-pandemic struggle for global prestige and economic dominance, and argues that both the U.S. and China are losing the fight.

"If some model has emerged as the winner of this dreadful sweepstakes, it is not China’s authoritarian one but rather that of the democracies that share China’s 'Asian values' of collective discipline, deference to authority, and faith in the state," Traub said.

Apr 27, 2020
James Traub
China, United States
Emerging Powers

Barnett Rubin, director of the Afghanistan-Pakistan Research Project, is quoted on the subject of President Trump's claims about Iraqi oil in this PolitiFact piece.

"Insofar as Mr. Trump's proposals are coherent enough to be subject to analysis and judgment, they appear to be practically impossible, legally prohibited, and politically imbecilic," Rubin said.

Oct 21, 2019
United States

Related Publications

  • The paper Fueling a New Order? The New Geopolitical and Security Consequences of Energy examines impacts of the major transformation in international energy markets that has begun. The United States is poised to overtake Saudi Arabia and Russia as the world’s largest oil producer and, combined with new developments in natural gas, is on track to become the dominant player in global energy markets. Meanwhile, China is in place to surpass the United States in its scale of oil imports, and has already edged out the U.S. in carbon emissions.

    Apr 15, 2014
    Bruce Jones, David Steven, Emily O'Brien
  • America, Rising Powers, and the Tension between Rivalry and Restraint

    "What’s become clear to me is that while the rising powers--principally China, India, Brazil, but also Turkey, Indonesia, Korea and others--want to increase their influence and protect their interests, the United States still occupies a central place in their thinking and their strategies. And only the U.S. can help all these players forge an effective international order." —Bruce Jones

    Mar 17, 2014
    Bruce Jones
  • In late 2011, the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations, the Center for American Progress, and the Stanley Foundation formed a study group of US and Chinese experts, including CIC Director Bruce Jones, to evaluate the role of the G-20 in the US-China bilateral relationship as well as how the relationship influences the G-20. After meeting for two conferences over the course of 2012, the group reached consensus on a set of recommendations to improve the efficacy of this important body.

    Mar 11, 2013
    Bruce Jones
    China, United States

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